The 2025 U.S. Open begins Thursday, June 12, at the treacherous Oakmont Country Club in western Pennsylvania. As has been the case for all tournaments he's entered this year, Scottie Scheffler is the +280 favorite at Sportsbook in the U.S. Open odds and below we have picks for the third major of 2025.
But first, sink your teeth into our full U.S. Open preview with SI's Iain MacMillan. While Scottie Scheffler is among Iain's picks, see why he's also looking at Keegan Bradley at 100:1 for a small outright bet.
David's U.S. Open Picks
Scottie Scheffler to Win (+280) at Sportsbook
It could be argued that Scheffler’s major wins have come at those events where courses tend to be least penalizing (the Masters and PGA) while he lacks the two where layouts tend to be more rugged (the U.S. and British Opens). It could also be argued that setups at recent U.S. Open have made it more difficult for Scheffler to truly stand out.
Oakmont, though, seems ideal for a player whose game is built on precision—Scheffler hits 67 percent of his fairways and 70 percent of his greens in regulation, both well above PGA Tour averages. Both of those attributes will be in demand this week.
Bryson DeChambeau Top-5 Finish (+190) at Sportsbook
The reigning U.S. Open champion is in the midst of an enviable run of major championship success—he’s been T6 or better in five of his last six, a span which includes his Pinehurst victory and a pair of runner-up results in the PGA.
The question, as always with DeChambeau, is if he can keep it in the fairway with the driver. Errant tee shots won’t find hardpan waste areas like last year; this week, he’ll be looking at thick rough. And yet, DeChambeau has so tailored his performance to the majors of late that he’s impossible to overlook, especially on a classic layout that ranks 19th among all Tour stops this year in length.
Xander Schauffele Top-10 Finish (+210) at Sportsbook
While Schauffele hasn’t exactly seemed like himself this year—a rib injury forced him to miss the entire West Coast swing—he’s shown flashes like a T8 at the Masters. But if there’s any event where it’s all going to click, it’s the U.S. Open, where Schauffele is nothing short of awesome.
His career average finish of 7.1 is best among all active players, and that’s over eight career starts. He’s been top-10 in seven of those, and never worse than T14. He’s not the most reliable player off the tee right now, but still—if Schauffele hadn’t had such an uneven first half of this season, we’d take him to win.
Steve's U.S. Open Pick
Tommy Fleetwood Top UK&I +500 at Sportsbook
As much as I'd like to see him win, I can't bet it. But this value seems too good to good to up for me. Fleetwood is coming in playing well and he always seems to be in the mix in majors. He ranks 34th in driving distance, 18th in putting avg, 16th in final round performance, so he can lock in on Sunday. Since I'm a degenerate, I'll also bet Morikawa to be 1st round leader at +3500.
Scott's U.S. Open Picks
Jason Day Top Australian +300 at Sportsbook
Jason Day has had a decent start to 2025 with three top-10 finishes in the American Express, the Arnold Palmer and the Masters where he finished T8. Since then he's competed in two events with a T49 and MC so this pick isn't for the faint of heart. Day had a T8 in his only start at Oakmont CC but has missed the cut in four of the last six U.S. Opens -- hold on tight this will be a fun one.
Bryson DeChambeau Top-5 Finish (+190) at Sportsbook
The reigning U.S. Open and two-time champion Bryson DeChambeau is offering great value for a top-five finish at +190. On the LIV Tour, Bryson has finished fifth or better in four straight starts and sprinkled in between is a T5 at the Masters and a T2 in the PGA Championship.
Corey Conners Top-10 Finish (+320) at Sportsbook
Corey Conners has been mighty competitive in high-profile events this season: T5 at the Sentry, third at the Arnold Palmer, T6 at the PLAYERS, T8 in the Masters and T19 in the PGA Championship. In 2024, the Canadian broke his streak of five straight U.S. Open missed cuts with a T9.
A few stats to back up Conners' strong 2025 thus far, he ranks 21st in shots gained, 10th in SG off-the-tee, eighth in driving accuracy, and 13th in Greens in Regulation -- a little sprinkle at +5500 to win outright will also be played.
Related News
