NASCAR Cup Championship Odds: Kyle Larson

2025 NASCAR Cup Odds: Larson In Pole Position

We're at the halfway point of the NASCAR Cup regular-season schedule and currently Kyle Larson (+280) is the favorite in the NASCAR Cup Championship odds at Sportsbook.

  

2025 NASCAR Cup Odds

Odds To Win The 2025 NASCAR Cup Championship
Driver Current Odds
Kyle Larson +280
Christopher Bell +450
Denny Hamlin +650
Ryan Blaney +650
William Byron +700
Chase Elliott +1100
Tyler Reddick +1100
Joey Logano +1200
Alex Bowman +2500
Chase Briscoe +3400
Austin Cindric +3500
Kyle Busch +3700
Ross Chastain +4100
Josh Berry +4200
Chris Buescher +4600

Odds as of May 23 at Sportsbook

NASCAR Cup Championship Odds Favorite: Kyle Larson

The 2021 champion is sitting atop the Cup Series standings so its understandable to have him as the favorite in the Cup Championship odds. Larson has the most top-five finishes (two more than Christopher Bell), tied with Bell for the most wins, has amassed the most playoff points (23, seven more than Bell), and has led the most laps (817, 421 more than second-place William Byron).

While the No. 5 car always seems to be in the mix week in and week out, that sentiment is especially true in 2025. The 33-year-old has an average finish position of 9.8 which is just the second time in his career in which he has a top-10 average finish -- the other time was in 2021 with a 9.1 avg. finish a championship-winning season.

The biggest hurdle for Larson may be the Championship race at Phoenix. In 22 career starts, he has an average finish of 10.7. He won there in 2021, his only victory in the desert, and has finished inside the top five in four of the last five runnings in Phoenix. Problem with a top-five finish, though, is that Joey Logano won there two of the last three years (winning titles both times) and Ryan Blaney finished second the last three years (winning a Championship once).

  

Last 10 NASCAR Cup Champions

Last 10 NASCAR Cup Champions
Year Driver Team
2024 Joey Logano Team Penske
2023 Ryan Blaney Team Penske
2022 Joey Logano Team Penske
2021 Kyle Larson Hendrick Motorsports
2020 Chase Elliott Hendrick Motorsports
2019 Kyle Busch Joe Gibbs Racing
2018 Joey Logano Team Penske
2017 Martin Truex Jr. Furniture Row Racing
2016 Jimmie Johnson Hendrick Motorsports
2015 Kyle Busch Joe Gibbs Racing
2014 Kevin Harvick Stewart-Haas Racing

NASCAR Cup Championship FAQ

Who is the favorite for the 2023 NASCAR championship?

Kyle Larson currently leads the NASCAR Cup championship oddsboard with odds at +400. William Byron is second at +450. 

Who won the last NASCAR Cup championship?

In 2022, Joey Logano (Team Penske) won the NASCAR Cup championship. It was his second career championship.

Who has won the last five NASCAR Cup championships?

Here is the list of the last five NASCAR Cup champions as well as the car's owner:

  • 2018  - Joey Logano (Team Penske)
  • 2019 - Kyle Busch (Joe Gibbs Racing)
  • 2020 - Chase Elliott (Hendrick Motorsports)
  • 2021 - Kyle Larson (Hendrick Motorsports)
  • 2022 - Joey Logano (Team Penske)
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