NASCAR Cup Championship Odds: Kyle Larson

2025 NASCAR Cup Odds: Larson In Pole Position

We're at the halfway point of the NASCAR Cup regular-season schedule and currently Kyle Larson (+350) is the favorite in the NASCAR Cup Championship odds at Sportsbook.

  

2025 NASCAR Cup Odds

Odds To Win The 2025 NASCAR Cup Championship
Driver Current Odds
Kyle Larson +350
Christopher Bell +450
Ryan Blaney +600
Denny Hamlin +650
William Byron +750
Chase Elliott +1200
Tyler Reddick +1200
Joey Logano +1300
Alex Bowman +2500
Ross Chastain +2500
Austin Cindric +3600
Kyle Busch +4000
Chase Briscoe +4100
Josh Berry +4500
Carson Hocevar +4500

Odds as of July 12 at Sportsbook

NASCAR Cup Championship Odds Favorite: Kyle Larson

The 2021 champion is sitting atop the Cup Series standings so its understandable to have him as the favorite in the Cup Championship odds. Larson has the most top-five finishes (two more than William Byron and Denny Hamlin), tied with Bell and Hamlin for the most wins, has amassed the most playoff points (23, five more than Hamlin), and has led the most laps (851).

While the No. 5 car always seems to be in the mix week in and week out, that sentiment is especially true in 2025. The 33-year-old has an average finish position of 11.2 which is the third-best finishing position of his career.

The biggest hurdle for Larson may be the Championship race at Phoenix. In 22 career starts, he has an average finish of 10.7. He won there in 2021, his only victory in the desert, and has finished inside the top five in four of the last five runnings in Phoenix. Problem with a top-five finish, though, is that Joey Logano won there two of the last three years (winning titles both times) and Ryan Blaney finished second the last three years (winning a Championship once).

  

Last 10 NASCAR Cup Champions

Last 10 NASCAR Cup Champions
Year Driver Team
2024 Joey Logano Team Penske
2023 Ryan Blaney Team Penske
2022 Joey Logano Team Penske
2021 Kyle Larson Hendrick Motorsports
2020 Chase Elliott Hendrick Motorsports
2019 Kyle Busch Joe Gibbs Racing
2018 Joey Logano Team Penske
2017 Martin Truex Jr. Furniture Row Racing
2016 Jimmie Johnson Hendrick Motorsports
2015 Kyle Busch Joe Gibbs Racing
2014 Kevin Harvick Stewart-Haas Racing

NASCAR Cup Championship FAQ

Who is the favorite for the 2023 NASCAR championship?

Kyle Larson currently leads the NASCAR Cup championship oddsboard with odds at +400. William Byron is second at +450. 

Who won the last NASCAR Cup championship?

In 2022, Joey Logano (Team Penske) won the NASCAR Cup championship. It was his second career championship.

Who has won the last five NASCAR Cup championships?

Here is the list of the last five NASCAR Cup champions as well as the car's owner:

  • 2018  - Joey Logano (Team Penske)
  • 2019 - Kyle Busch (Joe Gibbs Racing)
  • 2020 - Chase Elliott (Hendrick Motorsports)
  • 2021 - Kyle Larson (Hendrick Motorsports)
  • 2022 - Joey Logano (Team Penske)
Back to Top