6 vs 11 Seed History: How Many 11 Seeds Beat A 6 Seed?

Selection Sunday is over which means we have our 6 vs 11 seed matchups determined. The No. 6 seeds this year are: Ole Miss, Missouri, Illinois and BYU. The No. 11 seeds are: VCU and Drake with the other two teams being decided in the First Four.

While No. 6 seeds still hold bragging rights with more wins all-time, No. 11 seeds have won nine matchups since 2021 to started to wreak havoc on the 6 vs 11 history. 

How many times has the no. 6 seed been upset by the no. 11 seed?

Since 1985, No. 6 seeds carry a sturdy 95-61 SU record all-time against No. 11 seeds. But,  chunks of that success comes in waves with the No. 11 seeds going 15-5 SU from 1991 to 1995 and 12-4 SU between 2002 to 2004. 

Last season Oregon, Duquesne and NC State pulled off victories over their higher-seeded opponents on day one. Unfortunately, the New Mexico Lobos couldn't making it a clean sweep, getting smoked 77-56 to Clemson.

The Wolfpack would eventually reach the Final Four before being eliminated by No. 1 Purdue. NC State ed LSU, George Mason, VCU, UCLA as the lowest seeds to appear in the Final Four in Big Dance history. 

What Seed Has The Recent ATS Edge?

Dating back to 1996, betting on 6 vs 11 matchups typically ends in the underdogs favor with the No. 11 seeds glowing a 61-50-1 ATS record. They continue to tread in the right direction, going 8-4 ATS across the last three seasons. The 6 vs 11 games typically don't see inflated lines with only two double-digit spreads since 1997, both which were covered by the underdog BTW.

Odds of 11 seed beating 6 seed

Of the 156 6 vs 11 matchups ed for, mathematically, the No. 11 seed has a 39.1% chance of defeating the No. 6 seed outright in March Madness.

no. 6 seed vs no. 11 seed History